Extended Forecast | Significant/Hazardous Weather | Recreational Forecast | Detailed Discussion | Farm & Garden | Wind by Elevation | Temperature by Elevation
Detailed Forecast
Today:
Any early sun south giving way to clouds. Showers developing in NY mid to late morning, spreading east midday and afternoon, with an isolated thunderstorm possible. Highs the 50s to low 60s north, in the upper 60s and 70s south. Winds light, becoming south 5 to 15 mph in southern areas.
Tonight:
A few evening showers, then scattered to numerous showers, perhaps a thunderstorm south of Saranac Lake and Rt. 2. Lows in the 50s. Winds diminishing to light and variable.
Thursday:
Mostly cloudy, with a few localized, passing showers. A rising chance of showers and thunderstorms from the west later in the day. Highs in the 60s north, 70s south. Winds light and variable, becoming southeast near 10 mph.
Extended Forecast
Thursday Night:
Showers likely, possibly some thunderstorms south. Lows in the low to mid 50s. Winds south near 10 mph, becoming northerly in northern areas.
Friday:
Mostly cloudy, with a chance of showers. Highs 60 to 65 north, in the 60s to near 70 south. Winds light, becoming north less than 10 mph.
Friday Night:
Mostly cloudy, with scattered evening showers, mostly east of the Green Mountains, giving way to some partial clearing. Lows in the mid 40 to low 50s.
Saturday:
Clouds giving way to partly sunny skies. Highs in the 60s to near 70.
Saturday Night:
Mostly cloudy, with showers spreading east. Lows in the mid 40 to low 50s.
Sunday:
Rain and showers, diminishing west to east in the afternoon, and mixing with snow over the mountains. Highs in the 50s to near 60, falling late in the day.
Significant/Hazardous Weather
None today. A few thunderstorms could be strong late Thursday south of the Adirondacks and I-89.
Recreational Forecast
Mountain Forecast:
The southern summits may see a few early breaks of sun, otherwise clouds will be lowering, with a rising chance of showers mid to late morning in NY, spreading east midday and afternoon. Lighter southwest winds, becoming west, and temperatures remaining warm. Thursday again brings clouds frequently obscuring the summits, with a good chance of showers. Moderate south winds shifting to the west, with little change in temperatures. The outlook for Friday continues to feature clouds, and a chance of showers. Light northwest winds becoming north, with temperatures just a few degrees cooler.
Wind At Lower Elevations:
Winds today light, becoming south 5 to 15 mph in southern areas. Tonight, winds light and variable. On Thursday, winds light, becoming southeast near 10 mph. The outlook for Friday calls for winds light, becoming north less than 10 mph.
For more details on Lake Champlain, go to: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&product=REC&issuedby=BTV
Detailed Discussion
Rain, showers, and a few gusty thunderstorms splashed their way across the region yesterday, mostly from afternoon into early evening. Numerous reports of downed trees, limbs, and powerlines from southeast VT near Brattleboro and Vernon, east into southern NH near Francestown and Peterborough. For most of us, it was a soggy but satisfying soaking, considering that most of eastern VT into NH are still in the drought conditions that started last summer. This is the ideal time of year to catch up, before vegetation begins to use the water, and the warm summer weather increases evaporation. The showers became spotty overnight, leaving lots of clouds and a mild, moist start to the day. In fact, the weather front, stalled west to east through the region, remains in place, from south of the White Mountains in NH, west through about Springfield, VT to Lake George in NY. The front means additional opportunities for rain extend through the rest of the week. Helping to organize the moisture is another storm system along the front’s western extension into the Great Lakes and near Chicago. That storm fired up strong to severe thunderstorms, including several tornadoes in Wisconsin. We’re expecting the storm to lose some of its energy as it runs into the cooler air here, but it still brings additional showers eastward today, perhaps a little earlier in terms of timing, so you won’t have as many dry hours this morning before the showers arrive. With less energy, today’s showers should be a bit more localized. The weather front also means a cool day in the north, 50s and low 60s, while some limited sun on the south side of the front boosts readings into the upper 60s and 70s again. This first collection of showers should diminish west to east this afternoon, last northeast, while another pulse of showers or a thunderstorm tracks through areas from Saranac Lake and Rt. 2 south later tonight. Tomorrow, we may see fewer showers, and the front may drift north, suggesting warmer readings, before a stronger system arrives late Thursday into Thursday night, featuring numerous showers, and potentially some strong thunderstorms in southern portions of the region. The showers could diminish on Friday, depending on any additional energy sliding along the stalled weather front. Finally late Friday or Friday night, weak high pressure follows with some clearing to start the weekend Saturday. At the same time, a strong storm is expected to form in the Midwest, responding to an amplified push of much colder air from northern and western Canada. It brings more rain here Saturday night into Sunday, and as temperatures fall later Sunday, the rain may mix with snow over the mountains, then diminishing to rain and then snow showers Sunday night into Monday morning. Much colder air settles in for early next week.
Farm & Garden
Rainfall Forecast:
The Farm and Garden forecasts will resume next week on Monday, April 20th. The daily weather journal will continue on-line through the gardening season.
Drying Conditions:
Frost:
Wind by Elevation
| Wind Speeds | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Elevation | Today | Thursday | Friday |
| 2000ft | light>SW 25 mph | light>SW 10 mph | NW>N 5 to 15 mph |
| 4000ft | NW 10>SW 35 mph | WSW 10 to 20 mph | N>NE 10 to 15 mph |
| 6000ft | NW 35>W 65 mph | WSW 30>55 mph | WSW 30>55 mph |
Temperature by Elevation
| Temperature at Elevation | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Elevation | Today | Thursday | Friday |
| 2000ft | 56 N/72 S | 62 N/74 S | 58 N/67 S |
| 4000ft | 55 to 60 | near 60 | 50 to 55 |
| 6000ft | 45 to 50 | 45 to 50 | 40 to 45 |